Cycle Launch Indicators
macro ignition markers
Cycle Launch Indicators are high-confidence signals that a new macro phase in the crypto market has begunÔÇötypically marking the end of accumulation and the start of an expansive bull cycle. These indicators often involve a combination of technical breakouts, dominance shifts, liquidity injections, global sentiment reversals, and timing-based cues such as lunar cycles, eclipses, or halving events. Traders and macro analysts use these markers to deploy capital at the birth of a trend, before the broader market catches on.
Use Case: A trader sees the BTC weekly RSI flipping from oversold to strong upward momentum during a solar eclipse, coinciding with rising altcoin volume and decreasing stablecoin dominanceÔÇöinterpreting this mix as a launch signal for a full market cycle.
Key Concepts:
- Macro Breakout Confirmation ÔÇö Weekly or monthly chart closes above long-term resistance zones.
- Dominance Shift ÔÇö ETH or altcoins gaining market share vs. BTC at key thresholds.
- Liquidity Return ÔÇö Sudden rise in TVL, stablecoin inflows, or DeFi usage across chains.
- Temporal Alignment ÔÇö Time-based catalysts such as halving cycles or energetic dates.
Summary: Cycle Launch Indicators offer a powerful framework to identify when a new market phase begins. Whether through technical, fundamental, or esoteric triggers, these signals are essential for front-running momentum, rotating into outperforming sectors, and riding the early stages of capital inflow. Their presence often precedes viral altcoin growth, protocol expansions, and parabolic wealth generation.
| Indicator Type | Example | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | BTC closes above 200W MA | Cycle transition confirmed |
| Dominance Signal | BTC.D rolls over while TOTAL3 climbs | Altcoin expansion underway |
| Liquidity Signal | Stablecoins rotate into DeFi vaults | Capital activation phase |
| Energetic Timing | Solar eclipse + halving proximity | Symbolic ignition of macro trend |
Capital Rotation Map
flow sequence of crypto market cycles
The Capital Rotation Map illustrates how liquidity moves through the crypto ecosystem in repeating cycles. During ignition phases, capital often flows in a predictable orderÔÇöstarting from stablecoins or BTC, then moving into ETH, followed by large-cap alts, mid-caps, and eventually microcaps or meme tokens. Understanding this flow helps traders anticipate where gains will rotate next and avoid entering overheated segments too late. Market Ignition Signals often appear at the point where this capital flow begins accelerating across categories.
| Rotation Phase | Asset Class | Typical Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | BTC / Stablecoins | Accumulation, Dominance spike, Regulatory clarity |
| Phase 2 | ETH | Volume breakout, Fee spike, DeFi TVL growth |
| Phase 3 | Large-Cap Alts (e.g. XRP, SOL, ADA) | Narrative reversal, Network announcements |
| Phase 4 | Mid-Cap & Layer 1 Ecosystems | TVL spikes, DApp growth, Cross-chain bridges |
| Phase 5 | Meme Coins / Microcaps | Retail mania, Parabolic price action |
Pro Tip: Cycle Launch Indicators are often confirmed by the start of capital rotation from Phase 1 to Phase 2. Watch ETHBTC, TVL growth, and rising gas usage for early entry signals.