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Reallocation Index

Technical Indicators • Price Action • Chart Signals

capital movement scoring across cycle phases

Reallocation Index is a composite metric that tracks the pace, direction, and volume of capital shifting between asset classes, ecosystems, and risk tiers within a market cycle. Unlike simple price charts that show where money sits, the Reallocation Index reveals where money is moving — measuring the velocity and magnitude of portfolio repositioning across sectors. A rising index signals active rotation (capital in motion), while a flat or declining index indicates conviction lock-in or stagnation. For cycle-aware investors, this index serves as an early warning system: when reallocation accelerates into speculative tiers, the cycle is heating up. When it reverses toward defensive assets, the smart money is already leaving.

Use Case: The Reallocation Index spikes as stablecoin reserves on exchanges drop sharply while TVL surges across FLR and HBAR DeFi protocols. Simultaneously, on-chain data shows whale wallets moving from BTC into mid-cap alts. A cycle-aware trader reads this as Phase 3 rotation confirmation, enters ecosystem positions through SparkDEX for dividend exposure, and pre-sets a rotation trigger into $KAU once the index reverses toward RWAs.

Key Concepts:

Summary: The Reallocation Index quantifies what most traders only feel — the shifting gravity of capital across a market cycle. It turns rotation from instinct into data, giving cycle-aware investors a measurable edge in timing entries, exits, and preservation moves.

Index Reading Capital Behavior Cycle Signal
Low (0-20) Capital locked in — minimal movement between sectors Accumulation or deep bear — conviction phase
Rising (20-50) Early rotation — funds shifting from majors to infrastructure Cycle ignition — smart money positioning
Elevated (50-75) Active reallocation — broad sector rotation underway Mid-cycle expansion — altseason developing
High (75-90) Rapid capital chasing — speculative tiers absorbing flow Late cycle — euphoria building, caution warranted
Extreme (90+) Frantic rotation — capital fleeing into memes and micro caps Peak proximity — distribution imminent

Reallocation Index Component Breakdown

what feeds the index and what each input reveals

Component Data Source What It Measures
Exchange Flow Delta CEX inflow vs outflow ratios Net direction of capital — accumulation or distribution
Dominance Shift Rate BTC.D and ETH.D daily change Speed at which market share is rotating between majors and alts
TVL Migration Cross-chain TVL movement tracking Which ecosystems are gaining or losing deployed capital
Stablecoin Deployment Rate USDC, USDT, RLUSD on-chain velocity How fast dry powder is converting into positioned capital
Whale Wallet Rebalancing Top 100 wallet composition changes Smart money conviction shifts before retail follows

Reallocation Response Framework

matching index readings to strategic positioning

Index Zone Strategic Response Portfolio Action
Low (0-20) Patience — accumulate base layer assets quietly DCA into BTC, stake FLR via Cyclo, hold stablecoins
Rising (20-50) Activate — begin scaling into ecosystem plays Enter HBAR, XRP positions, deploy into SparkDEX dividends
Elevated (50-75) Ride — let winners run with trailing stops Take partial profits, begin mapping exit targets
High (75-90) Prepare — tighten stops and define rotation triggers Scale out 25-50%, rotate gains into $KAG
Extreme (90+) Execute — full distribution into preservation assets Exit all speculative positions, park in $KAU and cold storage

Reallocation Index Checklist

read the flow before you follow the crowd

Flow Direction

☐ Exchange net flow trending inward or outward
☐ BTC dominance rising (risk-off) or falling (risk-on)
☐ Stablecoin reserves deploying or accumulating
☐ Cross-chain bridge volume increasing or flat

Rotation Velocity

☐ TVL migration pace measured week-over-week
☐ Sector rotation speed accelerating or decelerating
☐ New wallet creation spiking on target ecosystems
☐ Whale rebalancing visible on-chain

Risk Calibration

☐ Index zone identified (low, rising, elevated, high, extreme)
☐ Position sizing adjusted to match rotation intensity
☐ Stop losses tightened as index climbs above 75
☐ Speculative exposure capped during extreme readings

Preservation Trigger

☐ Rotation reversal detected — capital flowing back to majors
☐ RWA allocation target pre-set before cycle peak
$KAG / $KAU entry orders staged for distribution phase
☐ Core stack secured in Ledger — untouched by rotation

Capital Rotation Map

how the Reallocation Index tracks each phase transition

Phase Focus Reallocation Index Reading
1. BTC Accumulation Store of value base Index near zero — capital dormant, conviction hardening quietly
2. ETH & Infrastructure Smart contract expansion Index climbing past 20 — first measurable rotation from BTC into L1s
3. Large Alt Rotation Ecosystem growth Index hits 50+ — broad alt flow confirmed across FLR, HBAR, XRP
4. Small Cap & Meme Speculative heat Index surging past 75 — frantic rotation into low-quality assets
5. Peak Distribution Euphoria exits Index hits 90+ then reverses sharply — the top is in, smart money exits
6. RWA Preservation Wealth storage Index collapses — capital flows into $KAG / $KAU and sits still until the next cycle

Flow Over Feelings: Markets do not lie about where capital is going — only about why. The Reallocation Index strips out the narratives, the influencer calls, and the emotional noise, leaving only the raw velocity of money in motion. When the index is low, patience is the position. When it climbs, ride the flow with discipline. When it screams past 90, every day you stay exposed is a day you are funding someone else’s exit. The investors who read rotation velocity instead of price candles are the ones who enter early, exit clean, and preserve in $KAG while the rest argue about whether the top is in. Capital always tells the truth. The Reallocation Index just translates it into a number you can act on.


 
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