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Impermanent Loss

DeFi Strategies • Yield Models • Token Income

value erosion from liquidity pool price divergence

Impermanent Loss refers to the temporary reduction in value a liquidity provider (LP) may suffer when contributing assets to a liquidity pool, especially when the prices of those assets diverge significantly. This occurs because AMMs automatically rebalance token ratios, and LPs may end up withdrawing more of the depreciated asset and less of the appreciated one. The loss becomes permanent only if the funds are withdrawn before price convergence.

Use Case: An LP deposits $ETH and $FLR into a pool. If $ETH triples in value while $FLR stays flat, the AMM sells some $ETH to maintain a 50/50 ratio. When the LP exits, they receive more $FLR and less $ETH—resulting in a realized loss compared to holding both tokens separately.

Key Concepts:

  • Price Divergence — When paired tokens shift in value relative to each other
  • LP Rebalancing — Automated adjustments by AMMs to maintain pool ratios
  • IL Curve — A visual representation of loss severity based on divergence
  • Realized Loss — When impermanent loss becomes permanent upon withdrawal
  • Automated Market Makers — Protocol mechanism that causes IL through constant rebalancing
  • AMM — Decentralized exchange model where IL occurs
  • Liquidity Pool — Token pair deposits where LPs face IL risk
  • LP Tokens — Receipt tokens representing pool share and IL exposure
  • Yield Farming — Strategy where IL must be weighed against rewards
  • Swap Fee — Trading fees earned that may offset IL
  • Slippage Risk — Related trading risk in low-liquidity pools
  • DeFi Risk — Broader category including IL exposure
  • Stablecoins — Paired assets that minimize IL in stable pools
  • DeFi — Ecosystem where IL is a fundamental consideration

Summary: Impermanent loss is a fundamental risk in liquidity provisioning. While trading fees and incentives may offset the loss, LPs in volatile pools can still suffer significant value erosion. Smart timing, stable pairs, and protocol design can help reduce exposure.

Feature No IL Scenario Impermanent Loss Scenario
Token Price Movement Tokens remain at similar value One token increases or decreases significantly
Pool Rebalancing Minimal adjustments needed High-value token sold off by AMM
Withdrawal Outcome Roughly equal token amounts More of underperforming token
Relative Value vs HODL Same or higher Lower than just holding the tokens

How Impermanent Loss Works

the mechanics behind LP value erosion

Deposit
Price Moves
AMM Rebalances
Withdraw
Step 1: Initial Deposit
LP deposits equal value of two tokens • Example: $1000 ETH + $1000 FLR • Pool maintains 50/50 ratio • LP receives LP tokens • Position tracked on-chain
Step 2: Price Divergence
One token appreciates vs the other • ETH doubles, FLR stays flat • Pool ratio now imbalanced • Arbitrageurs see opportunity • Price difference creates pressure
Step 3: AMM Rebalancing
Arbitrageurs buy cheap ETH from pool • Pool sells ETH, receives FLR • Ratio returns to 50/50 by value • LP now holds less ETH, more FLR • Automatic, continuous process
Step 4: Withdrawal Impact
LP withdraws position • Receives more FLR, less ETH • Total value less than if held separately • The “loss” is realized • Fees may or may not offset
Key Insight: IL is called “impermanent” because if prices return to original ratios before withdrawal, the loss disappears. But in volatile markets, prices rarely converge—making the loss very real for most LPs.

IL by Price Divergence

how much you lose at different price changes

Price Change Impermanent Loss Example Impact
1.25x (25% up) 0.6% $10,000 → $9,940 vs hold
1.5x (50% up) 2.0% $10,000 → $9,800 vs hold
2x (100% up) 5.7% $10,000 → $9,430 vs hold
3x (200% up) 13.4% $10,000 → $8,660 vs hold
4x (300% up) 20.0% $10,000 → $8,000 vs hold
5x (400% up) 25.5% $10,000 → $7,450 vs hold
The Math: IL grows exponentially with divergence. A 2x price move costs 5.7%, but a 5x move costs 25.5%. In bull markets where tokens can 10x, IL can devastate LP positions even with high APRs.

IL Mitigation Strategies

reducing exposure to impermanent loss

Pool Selection
✓ Choose correlated pairs (ETH/WBTC)
✓ Use stablecoin pairs (USDC/USDT)
✓ Same-asset pools (ETH/stETH)
✓ Lower volatility tokens
✓ Concentrated liquidity ranges
✓ Higher fee tier pools
Timing Strategies
✓ Enter during low volatility
✓ Exit before major price moves
✓ Avoid new token launches
✓ Monitor divergence metrics
✓ Set IL threshold alerts
✓ Rebalance positions actively
Protocol Features
• Concentrated liquidity (Uniswap v3)
• IL protection programs
• Single-sided staking options
• Automated rebalancing vaults
• Range orders
• Dynamic fee pools
Alternative Yield
• Skip LP entirely—stake native
• Liquid staking (sFLR, stETH)
• Lending protocols
Holder’s Yield (no IL risk)
• Single-asset vaults
• Yield aggregators
Reality Check: There’s no way to completely eliminate IL while providing liquidity to volatile pairs. The question is whether fees + incentives exceed IL. If you’re not confident, consider alternatives like staking or $KAG/$KAU where IL doesn’t exist.

IL vs Fees: The Real Math

when does liquidity provision actually profit?

Profitable LP Position
Fees Earned + Incentives > IL

Example:
• IL from divergence: -5.7%
• Trading fees earned: +8%
• Farm incentives: +12%
• Net result: +14.3% profit
• LP wins despite IL

Unprofitable LP Position
Fees Earned + Incentives < IL Example:
• IL from divergence: -20%
• Trading fees earned: +3%
• Farm incentives: +10%
• Net result: -7% loss
• Would’ve been better holding
High Volume Pools
More swaps = more fees
Can offset moderate IL
Example: ETH/USDC
Often profitable
Incentivized Pools
Farm rewards boost yield
Can offset higher IL
Example: New protocol
Check sustainability
Low Volume Pools
Minimal fee generation
IL often exceeds gains
Example: Obscure pairs
Usually unprofitable
The Formula: Net LP Return = (Fees + Incentives) – IL – Gas Costs. Always calculate expected IL at various price scenarios before entering. If you can’t beat holding, don’t provide liquidity.

When to Avoid Liquidity Provision

situations where IL risk outweighs rewards

High IL Risk Scenarios
✗ Bull market rallies (tokens pumping)
✗ New token launches (high volatility)
✗ Low correlation pairs
✗ Bear market capitulations
✗ Low volume pools (fees don’t offset)
✗ Declining incentive emissions
Lower IL Risk Scenarios
✓ Sideways/range-bound markets
✓ Stablecoin pairs
✓ Correlated assets (ETH/stETH)
✓ High volume blue-chip pools
✓ Strong incentive programs
✓ Concentrated liquidity (tight range)
Bull Market Warning: The worst time to LP volatile pairs is during a bull run. You want the tokens to pump—but if they’re in an LP, the AMM sells them for you automatically. Many LPs would’ve 5-10x’d by just holding during 2021. Consider the opportunity cost.

IL-Free Yield Alternatives

earn without impermanent loss exposure

Strategy IL Risk Typical Yield Best For
Native Staking None 3-15% Long-term holders
Liquid Staking None 4-10% DeFi composability
Lending (Aave, etc.) None 1-8% Stablecoin holders
Holder’s Yield None Variable Sound money savers
Single-Asset Vaults None 5-20% Passive yield seekers
Portfolio Approach: Use IL-free strategies for core holdings you want to keep. Use LP positions only for tokens you’re comfortable having rebalanced. $KAG/$KAU earns Holder’s Yield with zero IL risk—ideal for preservation capital.

Impermanent Loss Checklist

before entering any liquidity position

Pre-Entry Analysis
☐ Calculate IL at 2x, 3x, 5x divergence
☐ Estimate fee income over period
☐ Check incentive sustainability
☐ Assess token correlation
☐ Review pool volume history
☐ Compare to just holding
Pool Selection
☐ Prefer correlated pairs
☐ Check fee tier (higher = more income)
☐ Verify pool TVL (liquidity depth)
☐ Research protocol security
☐ Understand withdrawal mechanics
☐ Test with small amount first
Active Management
☐ Monitor price divergence
☐ Track fees vs IL ratio
☐ Set exit thresholds
☐ Rebalance if needed
☐ Harvest rewards regularly
☐ Document for taxes
Security
☐ Store LP tokens securely
Tangem for mobile access
Ledger for desktop control
☐ Revoke unused approvals
☐ Verify contract addresses
☐ Keep emergency exit plan
Final Question: If one token 3x’s while the other stays flat, will your fees + incentives exceed the 13.4% IL? If you’re not confident the math works, don’t enter the pool. Holding often beats LPing in volatile markets.

 
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